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Housing and Economic Research

Original research and analysis on housing trends, the economy and the mortgage market

  • Forecast | July 15, 2021

    Quarterly Forecast: Housing Market Expected to Remain Strong Despite Major Supply Shortage and Historically High House Prices Across the U.S. Slowing Sales

    The latest employment report from the U.S. Labor Department showed that while the U.S. economy added 850,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in June, it is still down 6.8 million jobs from February 2020. Job openings have surged to a record high of 9.2 million, and as the economy continues to reopen, we expect the economy to continue to mend. Consensus forecasts put full year U.S. Real GDP growth over 6% in 2021, which would help to close the large gap between the current level of economic activity and potential output. More

    Table chart of Forecast: July 2021 Snapshot
  • Consumer Research | July 12, 2021

    Credit Reporting Perceptions

    According to a recent Freddie Mac survey of homeowners and renters, many Americans are confused about the impact of debt on their credit profile. More

    Credit Reporting Perceptions
  • Research Note | July 12, 2021

    Has An Urban Exodus Occurred? Residential Environment Trends Shaping the Future of Where We Live

    As we noted in a previous report, there was an observed shift of home purchases in the last decade, even before the onset of COVID-19, from urban areas to suburbs and rural towns. We went on to link several possible socioeconomic factors driving the ongoing trend of household migration away from urban areas. More

    Line graph showing year-over-year inventory change of homes for sale by neighborhood type
  • Research Note | June 2, 2021

    Rural Home Purchases Outpaced Urban Purchases Through the 2010s

    The COVID-19 pandemic has increased interest in homeowner mobility. There has been a growing trend of moving away from urban areas as housing preferences have shifted towards larger homes that are more conducive to remote work and virtual learning. More

    Exhibit 1a: Showing color bar graphs showing home purchases increasing most in rural areas between 2010 and 2019
  • Research Note | May 12, 2021

    Almost 50% of Black and Hispanic Borrowers Could Save $1,200 Annually by Refinancing

    The recent record low mortgage interest rates provide many borrowers with an opportunity to save thousands of dollars by lowering their mortgage rate through refinancing. But a closer look at who is refinancing demonstrates that many borrowers who could benefit from refinancing still aren’t pursuing the option. More

    Table chart showing mortgage rates for older versus newer loans
  • Research Note | May 7, 2021

    Housing Supply: A Growing Deficit

    In a recent "Perspectives" piece about the housing supply shortage, Freddie Mac's Chief Economist, Sam Khater highlighted the growing deficit that the industry has been facing, not only during the pandemic but even before the pandemic hit. More

    Exhibit 1: Showing updated target housing stock

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Opinions, estimates, forecasts, and other views contained in this document are those of Freddie Mac’s economists and other researchers, do not necessarily represent the views of Freddie Mac or its management, and should not be construed as indicating Freddie Mac’s business prospects or expected results. Although the authors attempt to provide reliable, useful information, they do not guarantee that the information or other content in this document is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. All content is subject to change without notice. All content is provided on an “as is” basis, with no warranties of any kind whatsoever. Information from this document may be used with proper attribution. Alteration of this document or its content is strictly prohibited. ©2025 by Freddie Mac.

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Primary Mortgage Market Survey®

Average Rates as of May 8, 2025
30-Yr FRM
6.76%
15-Yr FRM
5.89%

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