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CorporateSeptember 21, 2023

Making Home Possible – and Sustainable

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OutlookSeptember 21, 2023

Economic, Housing and Mortgage Market Outlook – September 2023

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Housing and Economic Research

Original research and analysis on housing trends, the economy and the mortgage market

  • Forecast | October 15, 2021

    Quarterly Forecast: Strong Housing Market Expected to Persist Notwithstanding Rising Mortgage Rates and Continued High Home Prices

    While the U.S economy has reached above its pre-pandemic peak with real GDP growth of over 6% annualized rate in the first two quarters of 2021, the economy still has space to grow. More

    Table chart of Forecast: October 2021 Snapshot
  • Consumer Research | October 13, 2021

    Survey of Single Women Finds Low Confidence in Homeownership Prospects

    New consumer research from Freddie Mac found that the pandemic disrupted the homeownership goals of single female heads of households (SFHOHs). More

    Infographic showing Survey of Single Women Finds Low Confidence in Homeownership Prospects
  • Research Note | September 20, 2021

    Racial and Ethnic Valuation Gaps In Home Purchase Appraisals

    To follow up on several stories of potential appraisal bias in various news outlets, Freddie Mac kicked off a study of whether minorities are more likely to receive an appraisal value that is lower than the contract price during purchase transactions. More

    Table chart showing appraisal gaps for minority tracts
  • Research Note | August 26, 2021

    The Growth of Sole-person Households: Creating Even More Demand for Smaller, More Affordable Homes

    One of the key changes in household composition is the increase in sole-person households. In the past 40 years, sole-person households have almost doubled in the United States. More

    Share of sole-person households chart
  • Forecast | July 15, 2021

    Quarterly Forecast: Housing Market Expected to Remain Strong Despite Major Supply Shortage and Historically High House Prices Across the U.S. Slowing Sales

    The latest employment report from the U.S. Labor Department showed that while the U.S. economy added 850,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in June, it is still down 6.8 million jobs from February 2020. Job openings have surged to a record high of 9.2 million, and as the economy continues to reopen, we expect the economy to continue to mend. Consensus forecasts put full year U.S. Real GDP growth over 6% in 2021, which would help to close the large gap between the current level of economic activity and potential output. More

    Table chart of Forecast: July 2021 Snapshot
  • Research Note | July 12, 2021

    Has An Urban Exodus Occurred? Residential Environment Trends Shaping the Future of Where We Live

    As we noted in a previous report, there was an observed shift of home purchases in the last decade, even before the onset of COVID-19, from urban areas to suburbs and rural towns. We went on to link several possible socioeconomic factors driving the ongoing trend of household migration away from urban areas. More

    Line graph showing year-over-year inventory change of homes for sale by neighborhood type

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Opinions, estimates, forecasts, and other views contained in this document are those of Freddie Mac’s economists and other researchers, do not necessarily represent the views of Freddie Mac or its management, and should not be construed as indicating Freddie Mac’s business prospects or expected results. Although the authors attempt to provide reliable, useful information, they do not guarantee that the information or other content in this document is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. All content is subject to change without notice. All content is provided on an “as is” basis, with no warranties of any kind whatsoever. Information from this document may be used with proper attribution. Alteration of this document or its content is strictly prohibited. ©2023 by Freddie Mac.

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Primary Mortgage Market Survey®

Average Rates as of September 21, 2023
30-Yr FRM
7.19%
15-Yr FRM
6.54%

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